The Coronavirus (COVID-19) continues to ramp up. Almost half the State of Kansas has been ordered to stay-at-home, including all of Sedgwick County and Wichita. Officials fear as many as 1,000 could possibly be infected with the virus in Sedgwick County alone. In the Wichita Eagle this morning, Dr. Thomas Moore, a physician specializing in infectious diseases, and practicing with Infectious Disease Consultants of Wichita and is also serving as medical director of infection prevention at Wesley Medical Center. Dr. Moore said this about the present situation:
(excerpt from Wichita Eagle 03.25.20)
“Best case scenario, we continue to see some cases here and there. Maybe we will see some severe cases, but we have the resources we can deploy and keep them alive until they recover.”
“I don’t even want to contemplate worst case. The worst case scenario is we’re totally full in all the hospitals. We’re erecting tents in the parking lots. Patients with treatable conditions can’t get in – meaning, patients with heart attacks, strokes, diabetic coma – patients with completely treatable and potentially curable conditions can’t get access to health care and they die. They die on their way to the hospital or some other place where they’re turned away.”
Dr. Moore went on to say, “Sedgwick County (has) a population of approximately half a million people. This virus, conservatively, is expected to infect 40 percent of the U.S. population, so you take 40 percent of 500,000, that’s 200,000 people who are infected.”
“Of those, 17 percent will require hospitalization, so you’re talking about 35,000 people that will need hospitalization in the next six weeks. We can’t handle that. No one can handle that.”
“It will break us and frankly it will be complete chaos. So that’s the worst-case scenario. That’s why we’re working so hard to prevent this.”
So, Wellington, be diligent, stay home, keep your distance from others, and wash your hands frequently. Hopefully we can avoid the worst case scenario Dr. Moore speaks about.